"Unveiling Trump's Electoral Weakness: Insights from Iowa, New Hampshire, and Beyond"

Data from the 2020 American National Election Study reveals that Donald Trump's ideological and partisan base is strong but limited, with his appeal primarily among strong conservatives. Joe Biden's appeal, on the other hand, is broader, encompassing moderates, liberals, and independents. Trump's divisive campaigning style alienates a significant portion of the electorate, while Biden's likeability is associated with broader support. These findings suggest that Trump's reelection bid may be hindered by his inability to appeal beyond his loyal base, particularly among moderates and independents.