Pollsters Face Scrutiny Over Trump Support Predictions
TL;DR Summary
US pollsters are facing criticism for inaccurately predicting the 2024 presidential election results, where Donald Trump secured a significant victory despite forecasts of a close race with Kamala Harris. This marks the third consecutive election where pollsters underestimated Trump's support, despite attempts to recalibrate their methodologies. The failure has sparked discussions on the reliability of polling, with some experts and prediction markets claiming better accuracy in forecasting the election outcome.
Topics:nation#donald-trump#kamala-harris#politics#polling-errors#prediction-markets#us-election-2024
- US pollsters taking heat – again – for failing to predict Trump triumph The Guardian US
- Early Results Suggest the Polls Were Notably Accurate The New York Times
- US Pollsters Underestimate Trump Support -- Again Barron's
- What Looked Like a Toss-Up Turned Into a Red Wave. Did Pollsters Get It Wrong? Bloomberg
- Opinion | When Is a Poll Not a Poll? The Wall Street Journal
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