Pollsters Scramble to Explain Missed Predictions in US Election
The 2024 US presidential election saw Donald Trump secure a decisive victory over Kamala Harris, raising questions about the accuracy of pre-election polls. While national polls underestimated Trump's support, particularly in battleground states, the polling errors were not significantly large. However, in some regions, Trump's support was notably underestimated, highlighting potential blind spots in polling methodologies. Experts suggest that reliance on outdated models and assumptions about voter behavior contributed to these inaccuracies, and the polling industry faces challenges such as declining response rates and rising distrust in media.
