WTO Adjusts Global Trade Outlook Amid Mixed Signals for 2024 and 2025
TL;DR Summary
The WTO has downgraded its 2026 global trade growth forecast to 0.5%, citing delayed impacts from US tariffs, despite a 2025 increase driven by pre-tariff import surges and AI trade. The outlook remains concerning, with trade growth slowing significantly and global GDP expected to slightly decline in 2026, though the system shows resilience.
- WTO downgrades global trade growth forecast to 0.5% for next year Reuters
- Global Trade Growth to Slow Sharply Next Year, W.T.O. Says The New York Times
- WTO Sees Full Drag of Trump Tariffs Hitting Trade Growth in 2026 Bloomberg.com
- WTO says AI-related buying binge and a spike in US imports spur unexpected rise in goods trade AP News
- WTO hikes global trade forecast for 2025 — but next year doesn't look so good CNBC
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