AI’s Power Boom Could Spike U.S. Emissions—If Renewables Don’t Step In

UCS modeling shows AI-driven data centers could raise US electricity demand 60-80% by 2050, with data centers making up more than half the rise by decade’s end and potentially pushing power-plant CO2 emissions up 19-29% over the next decade under current policies. Reinstating wind/solar tax credits could cut emissions by over 30% and gradually reduce wholesale electricity costs by 2050; more aggressive decarbonization and grid upgrades would raise costs a bit but avert up to $13 trillion in climate damages. Policy uncertainty—particularly under the current administration—complicates renewables deployment, but storage and on-site generation could help keep consumer rates down.