"IEA's Upward Revision: Oil Demand Forecast for 2024 Surpasses OPEC's View"

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has raised its 2024 global oil demand growth forecast by 180,000 barrels per day (bpd), but it remains lower than OPEC's projection, with world supply growth expected to exceed demand growth. The IEA sees a potential supply surplus in the second quarter if OPEC and its allies unwind output cuts as scheduled, and attributes the demand growth revision to improving global economic growth, lower crude prices, and China's expanding petrochemicals sector. The agency expects world oil supply to rise to a new high of 103.5 million bpd in 2024, fueled by record-setting output from the United States, Brazil, Guyana, and Canada, while rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have raised concerns about potential disruptions to oil flows.