
UBS Sees AI Shock Could Drive Private Credit Defaults to 15%
UBS strategists warn that a rapid and severe AI disruption could push private credit default rates up to 15%—well above the current 3–5%—as lender exposure to software and sponsor-backed loans gauges rise, with market moves around Blue Owl and other asset sales fueling investor concern, though some say the worst-case scenario may be overstated.
