Artemis 2: NASA Won’t Pin a Fixed Risk Number on Crew Lunar Flight
Artemis 2, set for April 2026, will fly four astronauts in a 10‑day lunar orbit, but NASA is not providing a precise risk probability, saying data are too limited for a definitive number; officials frame the risk as uncertain—neither as high as a worst‑case guess nor as low as a simple statistic—while citing MMOD hazards and learning from past programs to guide mitigation.