Trump Breaks the Mold: Defying Historical Odds in Election Rematch
Former President Donald Trump's potential rematch against President Joe Biden in 2024 would be a rare occurrence, as election losers usually lose the rematch as well. Historical data shows that in Senate and gubernatorial rematches since 1950, only a small percentage resulted in different outcomes. Factors such as incumbency and party dominance in a state or district play a significant role in rematch victories. However, the unique circumstances of a former president challenging an incumbent president make the outcome uncertain. Biden's low approval ratings and concerns over his age, as well as Trump's legal challenges, add further complexity to the potential rematch.