"Renowned Historian's 2024 Presidential Election Prediction Unveiled"
Historian Allan Lichtman, known for accurately predicting presidential elections, has stated that President Biden currently leads former President Trump in five out of 13 keys in his prediction model, but he is cautious about making a prediction until August. Lichtman's model includes factors such as midterm gains, economic trends, and the absence of major scandals. He emphasized the importance of keeping personal views out of forecasting and highlighted the potential impact of public perception on key factors.