Tag

Handicapping

All articles tagged with #handicapping

sports-betting2 years ago

"Week 18 Deciders: NFL Playoff Clinches, Upsets, and Final Betting Odds"

Michael Lombardi outlines five key rules for betting in the final week of the NFL regular season, emphasizing the unpredictability due to varying team motivations and circumstances. Rule 1 advises not to assume teams won't try, as tanking is not a common strategy in the NFL. Rule 2 suggests that teams with secure coaching positions will play to their potential, regardless of playoff contention. Rule 3 recommends avoiding bets on teams with interim coaches due to uncertain motivation. Rule 4 warns that teams with everything on the line may play under pressure and struggle. Finally, Rule 5 states that teams with momentum will aim to maintain it, even if playoff positioning is secure. The article advises bettors to trust their knowledge over assumptions.

sports-betting2 years ago

"Expert Picks and Viewing Guide for Today's College Football Bowl Game Showdowns"

Handicapper Matt Youmans shares his latest college football bowl game picks, aiming to recover from a rough start to the season. His selections include Mississippi +5 against Penn State in the Peach Bowl, Iowa +6 and Under 36 (half-unit each) against Tennessee in the Citrus Bowl, Alabama +2 against Michigan in the Rose Bowl, and Washington +4 against Texas in the Sugar Bowl. Despite some initial setbacks, Youmans provides insights and analysis for each matchup, looking to end the college football season on a high note.

sports2 years ago

Assessing Handicapping Trends and Record-Breaking Results at Churchill Downs.

The Kentucky Derby's handicapping trends were put to the test with Mage's 15-1 victory, which validated some betting optics and muddled others. The Final Fractions Theory worked again, but certain speed-figure thresholds did not. Mage became the 25th Kentucky Derby winner from the Florida Derby, and the second Fountain of Youth finisher to win since 1996. The UAE Derby curse continued, and the winter-book favorite jinx persisted. However, Mage's win broke the post 17 drought, and he became the third Derby winner in six years to not race at age 2.