Tag

Forecast Accuracy

All articles tagged with #forecast accuracy

Punxsutawney Phil Sees Shadow, Extending Winter into 2026
world24 days ago

Punxsutawney Phil Sees Shadow, Extending Winter into 2026

On Groundhog Day 2026, Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow at Gobbler’s Knob, signaling six more weeks of winter. The tradition, rooted in European folklore and popularized by a 1993 film, continues with the inner circle announcing forecasts. Across decades, Phil’s accuracy has been modest: NOAA estimates around 30-35% over the last 10–20 years, generally outperforming a coin flip but well short of reliable forecasting.