Tag

Election Predictor

All articles tagged with #election predictor

digital-news1 year ago

NYT's Election Needle Returns Amidst Tech Union Strike and Divided America

The New York Times has relaunched its 'Needle' election predictor during a tech workers' strike at the paper. The Needle, which forecasts election outcomes based on partial results, is operational despite the strike by the Times Tech Guild, which represents over 600 tech employees. The union went on strike after failing to secure a new contract, accusing the company of unfair labor practices. The Needle's operation depends on stable computer systems maintained by striking engineers, and the Times has assured it will only run the Needle if these systems are reliable.

politics1 year ago

Stock Market Signals Uncertain Outcome in Presidential Race

A stock market gauge suggests Vice President Kamala Harris may defeat former President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential race. Historically, the party in the White House retains power when the U.S. stock market rises between the end of July and Halloween. This year, the S&P 500 rose 3.3% during this period, aligning with this trend. However, the predictor, based on 21 elections since 1944, is not statistically significant, according to its creator Sam Stovall, but he still believes in its historical reliability.