China's Growing Influence in Myanmar: From Cyber Scams to Cease-Fire Deals
China's efforts to eradicate forced labor scam compounds on its border with Myanmar have disrupted border trade and triggered a countrywide attack by resistance forces, causing unprecedented losses for the junta. China is concerned about economic hardship and energy security in its southwestern provinces. The Myanmar army's request for Chinese help indicates the military may be on the brink of defeat. China's strategy involves fragmenting the armed resistance and forcing cease-fires, but this approach may lead to greater instability in Myanmar. Additionally, criminal syndicates have shifted their operations to other areas, posing a threat to global human security.