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Black Swan Event

All articles tagged with #black swan event

finance2 years ago•5 min saved

2024 Stock Market Outlook: Recession, Debt Bubble, and Volatility Pose Biggest Risks

While the outlook for stocks appears bullish, there are several significant risks that could impact the market. These risks include the possibility of a recession, a bursting debt bubble, overvalued stocks, and the potential for a Black Swan event. Wall Street forecasters warn that even a hint of a recession could send stocks plunging, and there are concerns about the formation of a massive debt bubble. Additionally, some parts of the S&P 500 are considered overvalued, and there are predictions of a significant correction. Finally, the possibility of a Black Swan event, such as escalating tensions between the US and China or conflict in the Middle East, could have catastrophic effects on the global economy.

via Markets Insider|

#black-swan-event #debt-bubble #finance

finance2 years ago•5 min saved

"Apple's Stock Surge: From $3 Trillion to $4 Trillion by 2025, Analyst Predicts"

Apple's nearing $3 trillion valuation has some analysts predicting a $4 trillion milestone by 2025, fueling optimism in the stock market. Factors such as the Federal Reserve's rate rises nearing an end, stable bonds, absence of a recession, and ample cash on the sidelines contribute to the market's short-term upward momentum. However, concerns arise from slowing consumer spending on services, declining fiscal stimulus, an expensive market, and technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions. Chief strategist Irene Tunkel warns that while the rally can continue, a black swan event could trigger a sharp contraction in multiples and a substantial market downturn.

via MarketWatch|

#apple #black-swan-event #economic-concerns

finance2 years ago•5 min saved

Market veteran identifies synchronized assets as warning sign for potential 'black swan event'

Market technician Jeff Bierman warns that bitcoin, gold, the S&P 500, bonds, and oil have been moving together in automatic serial correlation, driven simultaneously by algos, which is a black swan event that can be burst at any time by an exogenous cataclysmic risk event or any number of factors. Bierman notes that almost every stock outside of financials has rallied to the point of being priced for perfection and beyond, with expectations also too high. Tesla's earnings gloom is having a pinball effect across several asset classes, and Bierman thinks the market has already squeezed in so much good news, there’s scant upside left, while there’s a ton of wide open space to the downside.

via MarketWatch|

#asset-correlation #black-swan-event #earnings