ISW: Battlefield Shifts Undermine Russia’s Victory Narrative in Ukraine War
TL;DR Summary
A February 2026 ISW assessment argues that battlefield realities negate Moscow’s claim of an inevitable Ukrainian defeat, noting Ukrainian counterattacks have reclaimed significant ground since December and February, eroding Russia’s original war aims; Russia has not secured a permanent edge and faces setbacks as it moves to stabilize positions ahead of potential renewed offensives, while Ukraine’s gains and Russian command‑and‑control failures complicate Moscow’s plans.
- ISW: Battlefield realities disprove Russia’s claim that Ukrainian defeat is inevitable Euromaidan Press
- Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 23, 2026 Institute for the Study of War
- 'Deluded Putin is wrong to believe he is winning in Ukraine - Kyiv is fighting back' The Mirror
- Pokrovsk has likely fallen, yet Russian momentum stalls — ISW The New Voice of Ukraine
- Moscow’s territorial gains falter as world marks fourth anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine Новая газета Европа
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