"2024 Report: U.S. Election Tops Global Risk List"

The Eurasia Group's annual report predicts that the U.S. presidential election in 2024 poses the top global risk, regardless of the outcome, due to the country's deep political division and eroded legitimacy and functionality of its institutions. The report highlights concerns about President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, predicting that a potential rematch between the two could further exacerbate the nation's problems. The group also warns of potential consequences if Trump wins, including the end of democracy as it is known, and the likelihood of Trump contesting the results if Biden wins, leading to continued damage to America's social fabric, political institutions, and international standing.