"2024 Global Risk Outlook: U.S. Election and Geopolitical Threats"

The Eurasia Group's annual report predicts that the U.S. presidential election in 2024 poses the top global risk, regardless of the outcome, due to the country's deep political division and eroded legitimacy and functionality of its institutions. The report highlights concerns about President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, predicting that Trump may delegitimize the election and pressure Republican officials if he faces criminal charges. The group warns that the election will exacerbate the nation's existing divisions and damage its international standing, making 2024 an "annus horribilis."