"Ukraine's Military Struggles and the Urgent Need for Western Support"

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Source: Responsible Statecraft
"Ukraine's Military Struggles and the Urgent Need for Western Support"
Photo: Responsible Statecraft
TL;DR Summary

Ukraine's hopes for a decisive offensive victory against Russia with Western-supplied missiles are flawed, as Russian forces have the capability to adapt and counter these weapons. The belief that Russia is running critically low on munitions is also contradicted by evidence, as they have sustained long-range strike capabilities. Western-provided missiles can impose operational costs on Russian forces, but they are unlikely to decisively defeat them. It is crucial for Ukraine's backers to develop a realistic theory of victory that acknowledges the dire conditions faced by Ukraine and offers a sustainable framework for war termination.

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