The Uncertain Future of Ukraine: Can it Survive Russian Aggression?

The counter-offensive in the Ukraine war appears to be drawing to a close, with few territorial gains or losses on either side. Satellite data shows a slowdown in war-related activity since mid-October, suggesting a slowdown in the fighting. While Ukraine made significant gains during its counter-offensive last year, this year's offensive has resulted in almost no lasting gains. The current fighting is concentrated in the south, near Robotyne and Tokmak, as well as in Avdiivka and the east of Kherson city. Despite the challenges, Ukraine has shown resilience with support from the West, and the war is expected to continue for the foreseeable future.