Maduro Bet Puts Prediction Markets Under the Microscope

TL;DR Summary
An anonymous trader earned over $400,000 on Polymarket by betting Maduro would be ousted, just hours before a nighttime raid was announced, fueling scrutiny of insider trading risks in 24/7 prediction markets. The piece explains how these markets work, their volatile yet growing use, and the regulatory landscape in the U.S. with competitors like Kalshi and calls for tighter rules.
- A $400,000 payout after Maduro's capture is putting prediction markets in the spotlight AP News
- Maduro Could Have Avoided His Capture Entirely if He Had Checked This App Slate
- Traders Bet on the U.S.’s Next Airstrike Target - WSJ The Wall Street Journal
- Polymarket refuses to pay bets that US would ‘invade’ Venezuela Financial Times
- A Fierce Debate With Polymarket: Did the U.S. ‘Invade’ Venezuela? The New York Times
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