Kamala Harris Emerges as Frontrunner in Key Election Forecasts
TL;DR Summary
Vice President Kamala Harris holds a marginal lead over former President Donald Trump in Nate Silver's final forecast for the 2024 election, with Harris winning the Electoral College in 50.015% of simulations. Silver emphasizes the race's extreme closeness, likening it to a coin flip, and notes that polling averages are within 1.2 percentage points in most battleground states. Despite his earlier gut feeling favoring Trump, Silver advises against relying on intuition, highlighting the uncertainty of the forecast.
- Harris takes razor-thin lead in final Nate Silver forecast The Hill
- Kamala Harris Suddenly Becomes Favorite To Win in Top Election Forecast Newsweek
- Kamala Harris moves ahead—just—in our final election forecast The Economist
- Professor who has correctly predicted 9 of last 10 elections stands by Harris pick CNN
- Allan Lichtman vs. Nate Silver: Who will accurately predict the 2024 election? USA TODAY
Reading Insights
Total Reads
0
Unique Readers
1
Time Saved
2 min
vs 2 min read
Condensed
81%
395 → 77 words
Want the full story? Read the original article
Read on The Hill