Harris Gains Momentum as Trump's Election Odds Waver
TL;DR Summary
Prediction markets have shifted away from Donald Trump as the election nears, with Kamala Harris now leading in several platforms. PredictIt shows Harris's contract at 54 cents, up from 42 cents a week ago, while Trump's has dropped to 51 cents. Similar trends are seen on Kalshi and IBKR Forecast Trader, where Harris's odds surged dramatically. This shift is attributed to recent news events, including backlash from a Trump rally and favorable polling for Harris in key states. Despite this, 538's analysis still gives Trump a slight edge, and a Republican sweep remains narrowly favored in some models.
- Prediction markets suddenly shift away from Trump as campaign enters final stretch Fortune
- Harris Retakes Election Odds Lead With Betting Market—As Trump Remains Favorite Forbes
- 2024 presidential odds: Harris gaining on Trump, who still leads (Nov. 3 update) Asbury Park Press
- A race to the finish? Trump's presidential election odds tumble during weekend USA TODAY
- Election Betting Odds Tighten As Polls Show Harris Has Momentum Business Insider
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