Mysterious pre-decision trades loom over Trump's war moves

Axios analyzes data showing suspicious pre-announcement trading around Trump’s war decisions, including a sudden oil futures spike before a pause and a burst of Polymarket bets predicting a strike on Iran. While the timing is striking and could imply insider knowledge or coordinated trading, authorities say there’s no evidence that Trump or officials were involved, and the piece places the patterns in a broader context of reduced enforcement against insiders under the administration.