Unmasking the Unpredictability of MLB Success and Playoff Chances
As the second half of the MLB season begins, three of the six lowest-spending teams are in playoff position, while three of the highest-spending teams are not. This challenges the notion that payroll disparity is the defining problem in baseball. However, it is still early in the season, and the standings may change. Historically, teams with low payrolls have struggled to advance deep into the playoffs. The success of small-market teams this year could be an outlier, and larger-market teams may still make a comeback. The Angels, with one of the highest payrolls, may consider trading Shohei Ohtani to address their problems.