Iran’s War as a Wildcard in Russia’s Ukraine Battlefield
The Bulwark weighs how the Iran crisis could shape Russia and Ukraine: Moscow may benefit from higher energy prices and fewer weapons headed to Kyiv if Tehran’s regime weakens, but Tehran’s fall could also undermine Russia’s regional leverage. Iran’s drone and missile exports have declined as Russia shifts to domestic Shahed production, while analysts caution that Iran’s instability could force Moscow to recalibrate its Middle East strategy. The situation could distract Washington from Ukraine or, conversely, backfire on Russia if the conflict drags on, making the outcome highly uncertain.
