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sports2 years ago

The Hype and Reality of Will Levis in the 2023 NFL Draft

ESPN's probability metric for predicting NFL Draft picks, which is based on expert mock drafts, team needs, and Scouts Inc. grades, has been criticized for dressing up a mock draft as a statistical finding. The model, which gives a probability of a player being picked, has been accused of putting an unnecessarily harsh shadow of implied failure over a college athlete. The article argues that the model's misdirected deployment of advanced-sounding statistics undermines the cause of helping fans embrace newer numbers and ways of communicating about football.