PTA's One Battle After Another Tops 2026 Oscar Predictions, The Awards Alchemist Forecasts All 24 Nominees
The Awards Alchemist presents a data-driven forecast for all 24 Oscar categories in 2026, led by Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another as the frontrunner. The piece explains his method—festival and guild performance, critics’ tallies, and international voting—along with a category-by-category map of likely nominees, the growing influence of international voters, and the expected Best Picture lineup. He projects Sinners and OBAA as top contenders for nominations, discusses the challenge of short-film categories, and notes how preferential voting shapes nominations and Best Picture outcomes, while acknowledging room for surprises.