"Russian Air Superiority Threatens Ukrainian Defenses: Assessing the Offensive Campaign"

Russian air force's successful use of satellite-guided glide-bombs in the assault on Avdiivka signals a potential shift in tactics along the Ukrainian front line, despite previous limitations due to effective Ukrainian air defenses. The devastating bombardment forced the Ukrainian 110th Mechanized Brigade to retreat, highlighting the impact of the new Russian tactic. However, the Ukrainian military's possession of U.S.-made Patriot missiles presents a potential defense against the glide-bombs, although their supply is dwindling due to political obstacles. The arrival of new F-16 fighters may offer additional defense, but the situation remains precarious as more Ukrainian cities could face similar bombardments without adequate defense.
- Russian Fighters Can Lob 250 Glide-Bombs In Two Days And Demolish Ukrainian Defenses. And Just One Ukrainian Weapon Can Stop Them. Forbes
- Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 17, 2024 Critical Threats Project
- Russian forces were able to capture Avdiivka due to air superiority - ISW Ukrinform
- Russia Aims for Victory in Ukraine by 2026: Report Newsweek
- ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Map and Update February 17, 2024 Kyiv Post
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