Escalating Tensions: Hezbollah's Provocations on Israel's Border

Hezbollah is carefully calculating its actions amidst the ongoing conflict between Israel and Gaza, taking into consideration Lebanon's public opinion and the potential for a wider war. While Hezbollah has shown restraint in its attacks on Israel, there are questions about Israeli leaders sensing hesitance from Hezbollah's Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah. The group is aware of its diminished support compared to 2006 and aims to portray itself as a rational actor. Hezbollah's strategic calculations are linked to the military situation in Gaza, as they fear Israel turning its attention to Lebanon if Hamas is defeated. While Hezbollah enjoys support from Iran, it acts in its own interests and Iran advises its allies to avoid expanding the war.