Trump’s Kharg Island gamble could ignite a Gulf oil shock

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Source: Politico
TL;DR Summary

Trump is weighing a military move to seize Iran’s Kharg Island, a linchpin of Iran’s oil exports, to pressure Tehran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The plan risks widening the war, driving oil prices higher, and triggering domestic political fallout, with analysts outlining four scenarios—from seizing to destroying the island’s oil terminal—each with serious implications for Iran, energy markets, and global stability.

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