Understanding 'Red Mirage' and 'Blue Shift' in 2024 Election Results

As the 2024 U.S. presidential election unfolds, early results may not accurately predict the final outcome due to varying state rules on absentee ballot processing and differences in reporting times between urban and rural areas. Key battleground states like Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania have different timelines for counting mail-in votes, which can lead to shifts in candidate standings as the night progresses. Urban areas, often Democratic strongholds, may report results later than rural areas, potentially skewing early perceptions of the race.