"Suburban Showdown: The Impact of New York's Special Election on GOP Majority and 2024 Themes"

The special election on Long Island to replace ousted Rep. George Santos will test whether Republicans can maintain their recent stranglehold on the New York suburbs, which have been moving towards the GOP due to concerns about crime and immigration. A win for Democrats would suggest a way to overcome ongoing Republican attacks on these issues and build on nationwide trends among upscale suburban voters. Both parties are heavily investing in the race, but the district may change due to redistricting before the November election.