Pollsters Reassess Methods After Repeated Trump Miscalculations

Pollsters believe they have finally addressed the challenge of accurately predicting support for Donald Trump in elections, after underestimating his backing in 2016 and 2020. In 2024, adjustments in polling methods, such as better outreach to non-college-educated voters and revised demographic weightings, led to more accurate predictions within the margin of error. Despite improvements, some skepticism remains about the reliability of polling in future elections, especially those involving Trump, due to the unique challenges his voter base presents.