"Nikki Haley's Path to Beating Trump: A McCain-like Upset in New Hampshire?"

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Source: The Boston Globe
"Nikki Haley's Path to Beating Trump: A McCain-like Upset in New Hampshire?"
Photo: The Boston Globe
TL;DR Summary

Former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley hopes to replicate John McCain's 2000 New Hampshire primary upset, but faces challenges in closing Donald Trump's lead. While independent voters played a crucial role in McCain's win, Haley's lead among them is narrower, and she lags significantly behind Trump among conservatives. The wildcard is voter turnout, which could benefit Haley if motivated by a desire to send a message against the status quo. However, with low turnout at her own events, her chances remain uncertain as the primary approaches.

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