Prediction Markets Spike on Iran Strike and Regime-Change Bets

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Source: Axios
Prediction Markets Spike on Iran Strike and Regime-Change Bets
Photo: Axios
TL;DR Summary

Following the U.S.-Israel strike on Iran, prediction markets saw multi‑million‑dollar bets on regime change, ceasefires, and potential invasions, led by Kalshi and Polymarket; the surge raises ethics and risk debates about insider information and the use of war events for financial speculation, with Kalshi suspending two users over alleged insider information.

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