"Global Impact of Myanmar's Weakening Military Control and Ethnic Autonomy"

The Myanmar military is rapidly losing control of the country's periphery to ethnic armed groups, leading to significant territorial and political losses. Despite these setbacks, the military is not on the brink of collapse, but its leadership, particularly Commander-in-Chief Min Aung Hlaing, faces mounting criticism. Ethnic groups are consolidating control over their homelands, creating autonomous statelets, while the central regime clings to power through brutal air attacks. Myanmar's fragmentation appears inevitable, necessitating a shift in how international actors engage with the country's emerging subnational administrations.