"Forecasting 2024: Expert Predictions on Politics, Climate, and Cultural Shifts"

Future Perfect staff have made predictions for 2024 with attached probabilities, forecasting events such as Donald Trump's potential return to the White House (55%), Republicans recapturing the Senate (85%), Democrats retaining the House (55%), and inflation rates falling under 3% (65%). They also predict Netanyahu's removal as Israeli PM (75%), a hotter global climate (80%), Modi's continued leadership in India (85%), Sheinbaum becoming Mexico's first female president (90%), and Ukraine's inability to break the land bridge between Donbas and Crimea (70%). In science and technology, they foresee FDA approval of MDMA for PTSD (85%), the release of OpenAI's ChatGPT-5 (75%), and a successful non-exploding launch of SpaceX's Starship (65%).